I have now finished my book on what is
likely to follow this virus scare. It is available for sale on
I started writing this blog last friday
when I uploaded my book to Amazon. However, I held off
publishing this blog till Amazon confirmed the book was
available. On sunday they emailed me to say they were
The reason they gave was because it was about Covid-19, and
their guidelines are that one must not write about the
Actually, the book's title is AFTER the virus, and is not
about the virus at all, but about technology advances that
will be brought forward because of the virus. The book's
categories are listed as BUSINESS and TECHNOLOGY.
I am finding more and more instances of people writing
anything about this outbreak being shut down, which makes me
wonder what is going on here.
If there is nothing spooky behind this matter, why are we
getting shut down?
I will be putting my book on my website:
I'll upload a version with the chapter about Covid-19
You can buy a copy of the book here. It's called After
It was only in there to emphasize that this was a tipping
point for mass investment in certain technologies. However,
have a look at what comes next.
I guess it is very difficult to shut down such an august
journal as Nature
* * * * *
The learned journal Nature
just published research
concerning the cruise ship Diamond Princess
received so much press coverage. The entire ship was
quarantined on Japanese shores after a passenger disembarked
in Hong Kong and was tested positive for COVID-19
This was a perfect environment for analysis of COVID-19
Indeed, it was a self-contained human laboratory.
According to Nature
, Japanese officials performed more
than 3,000 tests. The data confirmed that 18% of those
infected showed no symptoms at all.
More importantly, the case fatality rate on the ship was
determined to be 1%.
Timothy Russell, an epidemiologist at the London School of
Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, took the quality data from the
research and applied it to the COVID-19
cases in China.
Russell and his team took the total number of deaths and
divided that by all infections. The team included asymptomatic
cases. The resulting estimated case fatality rate was 0.5%.
John Ioannidis is a professor of disease prevention in the
School of Medicine at Stanford University and an expert in
epidemiology and biomedical data science. He used the data
from the Diamond Princess and concluded that 1% is the
absolute maximum fatality rate for COVID-19
much of the population on the Diamond Princess
elderly, thus the highest risk population for COVID-19
He took the data from Diamond Princess and applied it to the
age structure of the U.S. population
. The analysis
resulted in a case fatality estimate of 0.125%.
That means the case fatality rate is likely even lower than
seasonal flu, which is what rather a lot of us have been
claiming since the beginning of the lock-downs.
The comment from the reporter on this Nature
adds his own thoughts.
"We’ve had enough of this fear-and-panic-induced crisis based
on shaky assumptions. It’s time to get back to school and
rebuild the global economy." --Jeff Brown. The Bleeding Edge.
Well, ladies and gentlemen, the experts (and you cant get more
authorative than the journal Nature
) say Covid-19
causes less deaths than seasonal flu. So why is half the
planet in lockdown, which is likely to cause mass hardship and